65%Democrats captured house, securing control of both chambers37%Argentina's October inflation eased to 1.8%90%OpenAI did not release consumer hardware by October 3158%Democrats captured nine governorships in 2026 elections64%Democrats win five senate seats in Michigan, Ohio, Georgia, Maine, North Carolina72%US kept Iran ceasefire through midterm elections97%US held 2026 midterm elections as scheduled55%Anthropic claimed top spot on LiveBench Overall85%Israel-Iran ceasefire held through October48%Olivia Chow won Toronto mayoralty76%Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised rates by 25 basis points42%Yashar won Israeli election as Likud lost seats

AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Thursday, 22 October 2026
Edition of Saturday, 21 November 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Thu 22 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a month — by Saturday, 21 November 2026.

Politics

Democrats captured house, securing control of both chambers

Democrats won the house and held the senate, completing a congressional Sweep

65% certain
lead market 65%next 25%1 venuesettles Wed 4 Nov

The 2026 midterm elections produced a Democratic majority in the U.S. House of Representatives. That outcome ended the Republican Party's control of the chamber. With the senate already held by Democrats, the result constituted a Sweep of both congressional chambers.

The Republican Party no longer held a majority in the house after the election. The loss removed their ability to control the chamber's agenda.

Read the full report

Politics

US held 2026 midterm elections as scheduled

The federal government also kept diesel exports open and continued to refuse Russian diesel shipments.

97% certain
lead market 97%next 3%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Nov

World

Israel-Iran ceasefire held through October

Israel did not blame Iran for the Dubai-Tel Aviv plane incident and launched no attacks on Syria or Greater Beirut.

85% certain
lead market 85%next 19%1 venuesettles Sat 31 Oct

Politics

Olivia Chow won Toronto mayoralty

Mark Sutcliffe secured Ottawa, while Frank Scarpitti was re-elected in Markham.

48% certain
lead market 48%next 31%1 venuesettles Tue 27 Oct

Culture

Ali G: who Iz I? Opened under $2 million

You Can See Everything posted over $11 million in its second Weekend, while Street Fighter held between $8 million and $11 million.

36% certain
lead market 36%next 23%1 venuesettles Sun 25 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot49%Wed 28 Oct
  3. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party93%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep65%Wed 4 Nov
  5. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)64%Wed 4 Nov
  6. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%Wed 4 Nov
  7. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party67%Wed 4 Nov
  8. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)67%Wed 4 Nov
  9. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro74%Sun 25 Oct
  10. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  11. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro <4%41%Mon 26 Oct
  12. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes85%Sat 31 Oct
  13. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)61%Wed 4 Nov
  14. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  15. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)90%Wed 4 Nov
  16. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar68%Wed 28 Oct
  17. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)84%Wed 4 Nov
  18. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  19. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)94%Wed 4 Nov
  20. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  21. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  22. US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?: Yes72%Wed 4 Nov
  23. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)58%Wed 4 Nov
  24. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2442%Wed 28 Oct
  25. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá: Flavio Bolsonaro72%Mon 26 Oct
  26. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins83%Wed 4 Nov
  27. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes94%Sat 31 Oct
  28. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow51%Tue 27 Oct
  29. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes93%Sun 15 Nov
  30. New York Governor Election Winner: Kathy Hochul (D)96%Wed 4 Nov
  31. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?: No83%Sun 1 Nov
  32. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  33. US imports Russian diesel by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  34. Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  35. Will Israel election happen as scheduled?: Yes91%Wed 28 Oct
  36. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará: Lula86%Mon 26 Oct
  37. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad: Lula75%Mon 26 Oct
  38. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No98%Mon 2 Nov
  39. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe84%Tue 27 Oct
  40. Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place: Together80%Wed 28 Oct
  41. LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: Dplus KIA61%Sat 24 Oct
  42. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas: Lula60%Mon 26 Oct
  43. #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On): Meta55%Sat 31 Oct
  44. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic91%Sun 1 Nov
  45. Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?: No85%Sat 31 Oct
  46. Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?: Flávio Bolsonaro76%Mon 26 Oct
  47. LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: Anyone's Legend66%Sat 24 Oct
  48. Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?: 25 bps increase76%Wed 28 Oct
  49. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout: 78-80%58%Mon 26 Oct
  50. Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On): Google80%Sat 31 Oct
  51. Argentina Monthly Inflation - October: 1.6 to 1.8%41%Thu 12 Nov
  52. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?: did not happen83%Sun 25 Oct
  53. Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?: 3.0-3.5%37%Fri 30 Oct
  54. Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?: Anthropic61%Sat 31 Oct
  55. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: OpenAI95%Sat 31 Oct
  56. Oshawa, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Tito-Dante Marimpietri95%Tue 27 Oct
  57. Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place: Likud66%Wed 28 Oct
  58. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October: No change54%Fri 30 Oct
  59. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais: Flavio Bolsonaro94%Mon 26 Oct
  60. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Google56%Sat 31 Oct
  61. Israel election: will Likud lose seats?: Yes96%Wed 28 Oct
  62. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?: Anthropic83%Sat 31 Oct
  63. LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: Gen.G78%Fri 23 Oct
  64. Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?: OpenAI99%Sat 31 Oct
  65. No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?: No change98%Tue 27 Oct
  66. LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: Hanwha Life Esports79%Sat 24 Oct
  67. Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Ruas 5-10%51%Mon 26 Oct
  68. Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner: Bonnie Crombie48%Tue 27 Oct
  69. Winnipeg Mayoral Election: Scott Gillingham97%Thu 29 Oct
  70. Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Frank Scarpitti98%Tue 27 Oct
  71. Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?: No88%Sat 31 Oct
  72. Huon Valley Mayoral Election Winner: Abby McKibben63%Wed 28 Oct
  73. Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?: No86%Wed 28 Oct
  74. Stratford, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Martin Ritsma79%Tue 27 Oct
  75. Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?: OpenAI99%Sun 1 Nov
  76. Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Erwin Wiens63%Tue 27 Oct
  77. "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office: <22m61%Sun 25 Oct
  78. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic95%Sun 1 Nov
  79. Best AI model on October 26?: gemini-4-argon-high93%Tue 27 Oct
  80. "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office: <2M93%Sun 25 Oct
  81. LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: T188%Sat 24 Oct
  82. Has OpenAI made a cryptanalytic breakthrough?: No91%Sat 7 Nov
  83. By Oct 31, 2026, will openai.com say its agents accessed a U.S. federal government system without authorization?: No90%Sat 31 Oct
  84. Will Anthropic release a new Claude Fable model before October 26, 2026?: No82%Sun 25 Oct
  85. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?: Anthropic92%Sat 31 Oct
  86. "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office: 14m-16m36%Sun 25 Oct
  87. "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office: 11M+97%Sun 25 Oct
  88. Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?: No94%Thu 29 Oct
  89. Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?: No93%Thu 29 Oct
  90. When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?: October 26–November 116%Tue 27 Oct
  91. "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office: 8-11M69%Sun 25 Oct
  92. Fed Decision in October?: No change86%Thu 29 Oct
  93. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)66%Wed 4 Nov
  94. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane70%Tue 27 Oct
  95. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes84%Sat 31 Oct
  96. VA-05 House Election Winner: John McGuire (R)88%Wed 4 Nov
  97. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić66%Sun 25 Oct
  98. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)58%Wed 4 Nov
  99. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No78%Wed 4 Nov
  100. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  101. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement97%Wed 4 Nov
  102. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia67%Sun 25 Oct
  103. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  104. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google79%Sat 31 Oct
  105. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  106. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)89%Wed 4 Nov
  107. TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 6-9%56%Wed 4 Nov
  108. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No98%Wed 18 Nov
  109. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  110. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?: No Hormuz Agreement91%Wed 4 Nov
  111. Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?: Oil ≥ $85; D Senate62%Wed 4 Nov
  112. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  113. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola75%Wed 4 Nov
  114. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  115. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  116. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  117. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  118. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  119. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sat 31 Oct
  120. # of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?: 60-80M97%Fri 23 Oct
  121. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  122. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  123. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)81%Wed 4 Nov
  124. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova91%Mon 26 Oct
  125. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)63%Wed 4 Nov
  126. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  127. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?: Yes91%Thu 22 Oct
  128. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Milwaukee Brewers63%Sat 31 Oct
  129. Ohio Governor Election Winner: Amy Acton (D)79%Wed 4 Nov
  130. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes66%Wed 4 Nov
  131. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  132. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  133. GTA 6 launch postponed again?: No97%Fri 20 Nov
  134. Nebraska Senate Election Winner : Pete Ricketts (R)71%Wed 4 Nov
  135. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)65%Wed 4 Nov
  136. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No94%Sat 31 Oct
  137. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change96%Fri 30 Oct
  138. Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Iotova 10-20%43%Sun 25 Oct
  139. Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 260-27925%Fri 23 Oct
  140. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  141. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  142. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes70%Tue 3 Nov
  143. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  144. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?: No89%Sat 31 Oct
  145. Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  146. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No73%Tue 3 Nov
  147. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No81%Sat 31 Oct
  148. Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  149. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: 25 bps increase83%Wed 28 Oct
  150. US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: ≥3.0%78%Fri 30 Oct
  151. Florida Governor Election Winner: Byron Donalds (R) 80%Wed 4 Nov
  152. FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona66%Sun 25 Oct
  153. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?: No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate67%Wed 4 Nov
  154. Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  155. Minnesota Senate Election Winner: Peggy Flanagan (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  156. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  157. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  158. Bank of Russia decision in October?: No Change81%Sat 24 Oct
  159. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes78%Sat 31 Oct
  160. Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  161. Annie Andrews wins South Carolina US Senate election?: No82%Tue 3 Nov
  162. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No94%Sat 31 Oct
  163. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  164. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No93%Sun 15 Nov
  165. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Tue 3 Nov
  166. Largest Company end of October 2026?: NVIDIA90%Sun 1 Nov
  167. Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  168. Florida Senate Election Winner: Ashley Moody (R)90%Wed 4 Nov
  169. Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  170. MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner: Yoshinobu Yamamoto52%Thu 12 Nov
  171. Mississippi Senate Election Winner: Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)89%Wed 4 Nov
  172. Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  173. Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  174. Vermont Governor Election Winner: Phil Scott (R)76%Wed 4 Nov
  175. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No80%Wed 4 Nov
  176. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  177. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?: Yes70%Sat 31 Oct
  178. Bank of England decision in November?: 25 bps increase96%Thu 5 Nov
  179. Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate: Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems60%Thu 5 Nov
  180. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  181. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi66%Sat 31 Oct
  182. Montana Senate Election Winner: Kurt Alme (R) 92%Wed 4 Nov
  183. Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  184. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes68%Wed 4 Nov
  185. Will Solana dip to $60 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  186. Idaho Senate Election Winner: Jim Risch (R)95%Wed 4 Nov
  187. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  188. WNBA: 2026 Champion: Atlanta Dream77%Sat 31 Oct
  189. Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  190. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No90%Sat 31 Oct
  191. Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  192. Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  193. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes65%Tue 3 Nov
  194. MLB: 2026 AL MVP : Yordan Alvarez90%Fri 13 Nov
  195. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  196. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  197. NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?: No100%Fri 23 Oct
  198. Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?: Below 19039%Wed 4 Nov
  199. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?: No62%Sun 1 Nov
  200. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  201. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?: No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate67%Wed 4 Nov
  202. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  203. CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual): Sydney Kamlager-Dove83%Wed 4 Nov
  204. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  205. Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?: No99%Fri 6 Nov
  206. Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  207. Massachusetts Governor Election Winner: Maura Healey (D)96%Wed 4 Nov
  208. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No94%Tue 3 Nov
  209. Cali: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Gonzalo Bueno: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna54%Wed 28 Oct
  210. Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  211. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  212. Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  213. Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima: Moyuka Uchijima66%Thu 29 Oct
  214. Bank of Japan Decision in October?: No change97%Fri 30 Oct
  215. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  216. British Columbia General Election Winner: Conservative88%Sat 24 Oct
  217. 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: Democrats 8-10%25%Wed 4 Nov
  218. GA-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round): Republican 6-9%51%Wed 4 Nov
  219. What price will Bitcoin hit in October?: Dip to $82,50038%Sat 31 Oct
  220. Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  221. Next Premier of British Columbia: Lorne Doerkson86%Sat 24 Oct
  222. MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year: Adilson Malanda14%Thu 12 Nov
  223. Tennessee Senate Election Winner: Bill Hagerty (R)96%Wed 4 Nov
  224. Fed interest rate decision — October 2026: No change82%Wed 28 Oct
  225. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  226. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  227. Oregon Governor Election Winner: Tina Kotek (D)84%Wed 4 Nov
  228. Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  229. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  230. Bitcoin $87,500 in October 2026?: No69%Sat 31 Oct
  231. Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?: Yes61%Sat 31 Oct
  232. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  233. Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  234. "Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?: 150 - 160m97%Sat 31 Oct
  235. Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  236. When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?: No release by November 197%Sun 1 Nov
  237. New Mexico Governor Election Winner: Deb Haaland (D)94%Wed 4 Nov
  238. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes51%Tue 3 Nov
  239. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  240. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  241. Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  242. Will Democrat Angie Nixon win Miami Dade County in the Florida Senate Election?: No58%Tue 3 Nov
  243. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  244. AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: AFC Bournemouth60%Thu 22 Oct
  245. Will Anthropic’s IPO Form S-1 be public by 31 October 2026?: Yes77%Fri 30 Oct
  246. Rhode Island Governor Election Winner: Helena Foulkes (D)96%Wed 4 Nov
  247. France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  248. Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  249. Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?: No76%Sun 1 Nov
  250. Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November: 25 bps increase57%Wed 4 Nov
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a month, then reported as though they already had.