AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Friday, 23 October 2026
Edition of Sunday, 22 November 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Fri 23 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a month — by Sunday, 22 November 2026.

Economics

UK, Japan and Canada posted modest Q3 growth

Canada's GDP edged up in August while Argentina and China recorded inflation near 1%.

23% certain
lead market 23%next 18%1 venuesettles Mon 16 Nov

The third quarter of 2026 delivered modest expansion across major economies. The United Kingdom posted GDP growth of 0.6-0.7% quarter-on-quarter, Japan recorded an annualised increase of 0.0-0.8%, and Canada saw a marginal rise of 0.0-0.1% in August. At the same time, Argentina's October monthly inflation measured 1.6-1.8% and China's October annual inflation eased to 0.9-1.0%. These figures were released between 30 October and 16 November.

The United Kingdom's GDP grew 0.6-0.7% quarter-on-quarter in Q3 2026. The data were published on Friday 13 November. The result fell below the previously anticipated 0.8-0.9% range.

Read the full report

Politics

Olivia Chow won Toronto mayoralty

Mark Sutcliffe secured Ottawa while Steven Del Duca took Vaughan.

53% certain
lead market 53%next 47%1 venuesettles Tue 27 Oct

Sports

Raptors covered -5.5 Spread on Friday

The Raptors beat the Wizards by more than 5.5 points, while Utah also covered its 6.5-point Spread on Sunday.

52% certain
lead market 52%next 48%1 venuesettles Sun 25 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot48%Wed 28 Oct
  3. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)65%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep67%Wed 4 Nov
  5. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party93%Wed 4 Nov
  6. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)66%Wed 4 Nov
  7. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes84%Sat 31 Oct
  8. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party69%Wed 4 Nov
  9. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)66%Wed 4 Nov
  10. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  11. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes88%Sat 31 Oct
  12. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  13. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  14. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)63%Wed 4 Nov
  15. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  16. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  17. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar70%Wed 28 Oct
  18. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  19. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  20. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)85%Wed 4 Nov
  21. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  22. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  23. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)94%Wed 4 Nov
  24. US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?: Yes74%Wed 4 Nov
  25. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  26. Ohio Governor Election Winner: Amy Acton (D)83%Wed 4 Nov
  27. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2442%Wed 28 Oct
  28. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  29. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  30. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  31. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No93%Sat 31 Oct
  32. Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 280-29937%Fri 23 Oct
  33. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  34. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins89%Wed 4 Nov
  35. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow53%Tue 27 Oct
  36. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes94%Sat 31 Oct
  37. Idaho Senate Election Winner: Jim Risch (R)96%Wed 4 Nov
  38. Minnesota Senate Election Winner: Peggy Flanagan (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  39. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes93%Sun 15 Nov
  40. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  41. Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  42. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  43. Bank of England decision in November?: 25 bps increase96%Thu 5 Nov
  44. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  45. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  46. Will Israel election happen as scheduled?: Yes92%Wed 28 Oct
  47. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  48. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  49. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  50. Bank of Japan Decision in October?: No change98%Fri 30 Oct
  51. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe85%Tue 27 Oct
  52. Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place: Together94%Wed 28 Oct
  53. Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?: Yes65%Sat 31 Oct
  54. France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  55. Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November: 25 bps increase67%Wed 4 Nov
  56. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  57. Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?: No87%Sat 31 Oct
  58. California Voter ID ballot proposition passes?: No84%Tue 3 Nov
  59. Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  60. Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  61. Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?: 25 bps increase82%Wed 28 Oct
  62. Spread: Raptors (-5.5): Raptors60%Fri 23 Oct
  63. Argentina Monthly Inflation - October: 1.6 to 1.8%40%Thu 12 Nov
  64. Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?: OpenAI93%Sat 31 Oct
  65. US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  66. Spread: LSU (-6.5): LSU55%Sat 24 Oct
  67. UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?: 0.6–0.7%67%Fri 13 Nov
  68. Israel election: will Likud lose seats?: Yes98%Wed 28 Oct
  69. Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place: Likud67%Wed 28 Oct
  70. Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner: Bonnie Crombie55%Tue 27 Oct
  71. Spread: Steelers (-3.5): Saints56%Sun 25 Oct
  72. No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?: No change98%Tue 27 Oct
  73. "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office: 22m-25m46%Sun 25 Oct
  74. Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Steven Del Duca99%Tue 27 Oct
  75. Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?: 0.0%–0.8%23%Mon 16 Nov
  76. Oshawa, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Tito-Dante Marimpietri74%Tue 27 Oct
  77. Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Frank Scarpitti97%Tue 27 Oct
  78. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: OpenAI99%Sat 31 Oct
  79. Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM): 0.0 to 0.1%35%Fri 30 Oct
  80. Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?: No87%Sat 31 Oct
  81. Spread: South Carolina (-1.5): South Carolina52%Sat 24 Oct
  82. Spread: Utah (-6.5): Utah53%Sun 25 Oct
  83. Spread: Texas (-3.5): Ole Miss54%Sat 24 Oct
  84. How many Israeli elections before government formed?: 162%Tue 27 Oct
  85. Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?: No86%Wed 28 Oct
  86. "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office: <2M96%Sun 25 Oct
  87. Spread: Rams (-3.5): Raiders52%Sun 25 Oct
  88. Spread: New Mexico (-4.5): New Mexico52%Sun 25 Oct
  89. "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office: 14m-16m40%Sun 25 Oct
  90. Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?: No68%Sun 1 Nov
  91. Stratford, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Martin Ritsma99%Tue 27 Oct
  92. Spread: Ravens (-1.5): Bengals59%Sun 25 Oct
  93. Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Erwin Wiens61%Tue 27 Oct
  94. Israeli election results in a hung parliament?: No65%Tue 27 Oct
  95. OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?: $1.30T+56%Sat 31 Oct
  96. Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?: OpenAI99%Sun 1 Nov
  97. Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?: 6-7%27%Tue 27 Oct
  98. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?: 200+75%Tue 27 Oct
  99. October Inflation US - Monthly: 0.3%39%Wed 11 Nov
  100. Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?: OpenAI96%Sat 31 Oct
  101. October Inflation US - Annual: 3.7%83%Wed 11 Nov
  102. October Inflation China - Annual: 0.9% to 1.0%40%Mon 9 Nov
  103. "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office: <2M97%Sun 25 Oct
  104. Has OpenAI made a cryptanalytic breakthrough?: No91%Sat 7 Nov
  105. By Oct 31, 2026, will openai.com say its agents accessed a U.S. federal government system without authorization?: No90%Sat 31 Oct
  106. Core PCE YoY - September 2026: 3.1%44%Thu 29 Oct
  107. Core PCE MoM - September 2026: 0.3%64%Thu 29 Oct
  108. "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office: 8-11M86%Sun 25 Oct
  109. Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin?: 24% to 26%91%Wed 28 Oct
  110. Ted Cruz # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?: 160-17953%Tue 27 Oct
  111. Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth?: 4.5% to 5.5%34%Tue 27 Oct
  112. Zelenskyy # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?: 80-9976%Tue 27 Oct
  113. "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office: 11M+99%Sun 25 Oct
  114. Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis)?: 10.5% to 11.5%35%Thu 29 Oct
  115. "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Higher Brackets): 21M+83%Sun 25 Oct
  116. Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency)?: 46% to 48%59%Wed 28 Oct
  117. Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars)?: 13.5% to 14.5%37%Tue 27 Oct
  118. Amphenol (APH) Q3 organic sales growth?: 32% to 36%42%Wed 28 Oct
  119. Fed Decision in October?: No change93%Thu 29 Oct
  120. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane69%Tue 27 Oct
  121. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%Wed 4 Nov
  122. VA-05 House Election Winner: John McGuire (R)87%Wed 4 Nov
  123. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić71%Sun 25 Oct
  124. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro73%Sun 25 Oct
  125. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No78%Wed 4 Nov
  126. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro <4%40%Mon 26 Oct
  127. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia71%Sun 25 Oct
  128. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  129. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No83%Sun 1 Nov
  130. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement98%Wed 4 Nov
  131. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google82%Sat 31 Oct
  132. TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 9-12%55%Wed 4 Nov
  133. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  134. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No97%Wed 18 Nov
  135. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  136. Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?: Oil ≥ $85; D Senate64%Wed 4 Nov
  137. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  138. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?: No Hormuz Agreement90%Wed 4 Nov
  139. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola75%Wed 4 Nov
  140. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  141. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  142. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sat 31 Oct
  143. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  144. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  145. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  146. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova88%Mon 26 Oct
  147. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)63%Wed 4 Nov
  148. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)82%Wed 4 Nov
  149. Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Iotova 10-20%60%Sun 25 Oct
  150. Nebraska Senate Election Winner : Pete Ricketts (R)73%Wed 4 Nov
  151. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  152. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Milwaukee Brewers64%Sat 31 Oct
  153. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?: Yes91%Fri 23 Oct
  154. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes67%Wed 4 Nov
  155. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)69%Wed 4 Nov
  156. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá: Flavio Bolsonaro69%Mon 26 Oct
  157. GTA 6 launch postponed again?: No97%Fri 20 Nov
  158. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change96%Fri 30 Oct
  159. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  160. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes72%Tue 3 Nov
  161. Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Liverpool FC59%Sun 25 Oct
  162. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  163. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sat 31 Oct
  164. Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  165. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No85%Sat 31 Oct
  166. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No74%Tue 3 Nov
  167. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: 25 bps increase80%Wed 28 Oct
  168. Bank of Russia decision in October?: No Change73%Sat 24 Oct
  169. FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona67%Sun 25 Oct
  170. Florida Governor Election Winner: Byron Donalds (R) 81%Wed 4 Nov
  171. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?: No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate71%Wed 4 Nov
  172. Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  173. MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner: Jacob Misiorowski95%Thu 12 Nov
  174. New York Governor Election Winner: Kathy Hochul (D)96%Wed 4 Nov
  175. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  176. US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: ≥3.0%74%Fri 30 Oct
  177. Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  178. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes78%Sat 31 Oct
  179. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: Yes65%Sun 1 Nov
  180. Mississippi Senate Election Winner: Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)89%Wed 4 Nov
  181. Largest Company end of October 2026?: NVIDIA75%Sun 1 Nov
  182. Annie Andrews wins South Carolina US Senate election?: No81%Tue 3 Nov
  183. Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  184. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  185. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No94%Sat 31 Oct
  186. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Tue 3 Nov
  187. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No93%Sun 15 Nov
  188. Florida Senate Election Winner: Ashley Moody (R)92%Wed 4 Nov
  189. Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?: Below 19037%Wed 4 Nov
  190. Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  191. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?: No83%Sun 1 Nov
  192. Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  193. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No82%Wed 4 Nov
  194. Vermont Governor Election Winner: Phil Scott (R)75%Wed 4 Nov
  195. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?: No80%Sat 31 Oct
  196. Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  197. Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate: Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems41%Thu 5 Nov
  198. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi61%Sat 31 Oct
  199. Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  200. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes68%Wed 4 Nov
  201. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?: No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate67%Wed 4 Nov
  202. WNBA: 2026 Champion: Atlanta Dream78%Sat 31 Oct
  203. Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  204. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sat 31 Oct
  205. Will Solana dip to $60 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  206. Montana Senate Election Winner: Kurt Alme (R) 99%Wed 4 Nov
  207. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes66%Tue 3 Nov
  208. US imports Russian diesel by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  209. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  210. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  211. MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year: Joakim Nilsson32%Thu 12 Nov
  212. Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  213. What price will Bitcoin hit in October?: Dip to $82,50037%Sat 31 Oct
  214. Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Milwaukee Brewers58%Sat 31 Oct
  215. Massachusetts Governor Election Winner: Maura Healey (D)96%Wed 4 Nov
  216. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará: Lula89%Mon 26 Oct
  217. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?: No51%Sun 1 Nov
  218. Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  219. British Columbia General Election Winner: Conservative90%Sat 24 Oct
  220. Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?: No99%Fri 6 Nov
  221. CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual): Sydney Kamlager-Dove76%Wed 4 Nov
  222. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad: Lula73%Mon 26 Oct
  223. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No94%Tue 3 Nov
  224. Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  225. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  226. GA-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round): Republican 6-9%53%Wed 4 Nov
  227. Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  228. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No98%Mon 2 Nov
  229. Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  230. Bitcoin $87,500 in October 2026?: No82%Sat 31 Oct
  231. LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: Dplus KIA61%Sat 24 Oct
  232. #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On): Meta70%Sat 31 Oct
  233. Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  234. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas: Lula65%Mon 26 Oct
  235. Tennessee Senate Election Winner: Bill Hagerty (R)96%Wed 4 Nov
  236. Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger: Ashlyn Krueger98%Fri 30 Oct
  237. Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  238. Next Premier of British Columbia: Lorne Doerkson91%Sat 24 Oct
  239. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  240. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?: No79%Sun 1 Nov
  241. When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?: No release by November 198%Sun 25 Oct
  242. Oregon Governor Election Winner: Tina Kotek (D)84%Wed 4 Nov
  243. "Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?: 150 - 160m98%Sat 31 Oct
  244. Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  245. Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  246. Arkansas Senate Election Winner: Tom Cotton (R) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  247. Fed interest rate decision — October 2026: No change89%Wed 28 Oct
  248. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  249. Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  250. MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner: Lionel Messi93%Sun 22 Nov
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a month, then reported as though they already had.